Being a horse Racing Handicapper must be a thankless task. They are given the impossible job of assessing a horses ability and then allotting it a weight that should in theory make the whole field even. I suppose a handicappers idea of heaven is seeing a race he has assessed end with all the horses spread across the track and passing the winning post together. But let’s face it, this is not ever going to happen. Horses are not machines and very few of them are that consistent. Another problem facing the handicapper is that when some horses begin to run into form or show improvement they do it at a faster rate than others. Obviously there can be a time lapse between a horse running its race and the handicapper being able to assess the performance and take it into consideration. If a horse has shown considerable improvement the trainer may be keen to get it out again quickly before the handicapper has time to raise it in the weights. This is one of the reasons that weight penalties are applied. The size of the penalties is usually given in the race conditions and only applies to horses that have won their last race. The size of the weight penalty can in flat racing be between 3lb and 10lb and in National Hunt between 4lb and 10 lb. In some races in National Hunt Novice and flat races the penalty can be accumulative so a horse having won its last two races will carry a bigger penalty that one that has only won its last race. The weight penalty in handicaps is often set based on the distance of the race a horse won. In sprint races the penalty tends to be higher than in longer distance races. Statistics seem to show that horses with penalties do perform better in the shorter races. If you are assessing a horses chance of being successful despite its penalty you need to consider if it has the scope to improve enough to defy it. Consider how easily the horse did win its last race. Was it eased up near the end or was it a neck and neck scramble to the line. What was the quality of the opposition it actually beat? A winner, especially a two year old is likely to be able to defy a 3lb or even a 5lb hike in the weights. However 7lbs or more is going to require a considerable degree of improvement and would be beyond many race horses. An important fact to remember when it comes to weights is that giving a good horse extra weight may make it run slower but taking weight off a bad horse will not make it run any faster.
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Being a horse Racing Handicapper must be a thankless task. They are given the impossible job of assessing a horses ability and then allotting it a weight that should in theory make the whole field even. I suppose a handicappers idea of heaven is seeing a race he has assessed end with all the horses spread across the track and passing the winning post together.
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